Terry E. Duncan, Ph.D.
Education and Training
Professional Experience
Current ORI Projects
Education
Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas, B.S., 1976, Physical Education
Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas, M.S., 1986, Physical Education
University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon, Ph.D., 1989, Physical Education
Professional Experience
1989-1992
Adjunct Assistant
Professor, Department of Physical Education & Human Movement Studies,
University of Oregon, Eugene, OR
1988-1993
Research Associate,
Oregon Social Learning Center, Eugene, OR
1991-1993
Consultant,
Oregon Research Institute, Eugene, OR
1993-1995
Research Analyst,
Oregon Research Institute, Eugene, OR
1995-
Research Scientist,
Oregon Research Institute, Eugene, OR
1992-
Statistical
Consultant, Pacific Research Institute, Eugene, OR
Social
Context and Adolescent Substance Use Development (Reanalysis)
National Institute on Drug Abuse, 2000 - 2005
The
Social Context of Adolescent Physical Activity (ADOLPA)
National Institute
of Child Health & Human Development, 2003 - 2008
Selected Publications
Duncan, T. E.,
Duncan, S.C., Li, F., & Strycker, L.A. (in press). A comparison
of longitudinal multilevel
techniques for analyzing
adolescent and family alcohol use data. In D.S. Moskowitz and S.L. Hershberger
(Eds.), Modeling IntraIndividual Variability With Repeated Measures Data:
Methods and Applications. New York: Plenum Publishing Co.
Duncan, T. E., & Li,
F. (in press). Power estimation for intervention research: A latent
variable framework.
In W. Bukowski and
Z. Sloboda (Eds.), Issues in Prevention Research. New York: Plenum Publishing
Co.
Li, F., Duncan,
T. E., McAuley, E., Harmer, P., & Smolkowski, K. (in press).
Latent curve analysis of
longitudinal data on
aging. Journal of Aging and Health.
Li, F., Harmer, P., Chaumeton, N., Duncan, T. E., & Duncan, S. C. (in press). Tai Chi as a means to enhance self-esteem: A randomized controlled trial. Journal of Applied Gerontology.
Li, F., Duncan,
T. E., Duncan, S. C., McAuley, E., & Chaumeton, N. R. (in press).
Enhancing the
psychological well-being
of elderly individuals through Tai Chi exercise: A latent growth curve analysis. Structural
Equation Modeling.
Li, F., Duncan,
T. E., & Duncan, S. C. (in press). Latent growth modeling of
longitudinal data: A finite
growth mixture modeling
approach. Structural Equation Modeling.
Li, F., Duncan,
T. E., & Acock, A. (2000). Modeling interaction effects in latent
growth curve models.
Structural Equation
Modeling,7,497-533.
Li, F., Duncan,
T. E., Duncan, S. C., & Hops, H. (in press). Piecewise growth
mixture modeling of
adolescent alcohol
use data. Structural Equation Modeling.
Li, F., McAuley,
E., Harmer, P, Duncan, T. E., & Chaumeton, N. R. (in press).
Tai Chi enhances
self-efficacy and exercise
behavior in older adults. Journal of Aging and Physical Activity.
McAuley, E.
Blissmer, B., Katula, J., & Duncan, T.E. (in press). Exercise
Environment, Self-efficacy, and
Affective Responses
to Acute Exercise in Older Adults. Psychology and Health: An International
Journal.
Li, F., Duncan, T. E., Duncan, S. C., Yang-Jonsson, F., Acock, A., Hops, H. (in press). Interaction models in latent growth curves. In G. A. Marcoulides and R. E. Schumacker (Eds.), Advanced structural equation modeling: New developments and techniques. Mahwah, New Jersey: Lawrence Erlbaum.
Hops,
H., Andrews, J., Duncan, S.C., Duncan, T.E., & Tildesley, E.
(2000). Adolescent drug use
development: A social
interactional and contextual perspective. In M. Lewis and A.J. Sameroff
(Eds.), Handbook of developmental psychopathology, 2nd edition, pps.
589-605. New York: Plenum Press.
Duncan,
T.E., Duncan, S.C., Beauchamp, N., Wells, J., & Ary , D.V. (2000). Development
and Evaluation
of an Interactive CD-ROM
Refusal Skills Program to Prevent Youth Substance Use: “Refuse to Use”. Journal
of Behavioral Medicine, 23 (1), pp.59-72.
Biglan, A.,
Ary, V. Smolkowski, K., Duncan, T., & Black, C. (2000). A
randomized trial of a community
intervention to prevent
tobacco use. Tobacco Control, 9(24), pp. 24-32.
Duncan, S.C.,
Duncan, T. E., & Strycker, L.A. (2000). Risk and protective
factors influencing adolescent
problem behavior: A
multivariate latent growth curve analysis. Annals of Behavioral Medicine, 22(2),
103-109.
Park, J. Kosterman,
R., Hawkins, J.D., Haggerty, K.P., Duncan, T.E., Duncan, S.C., & Spoth,
R. (2000).
Effects of “Preparing
for the Drug Free Years” on the Growth in Adolescent Alcohol Use and
Risk for Alcohol Use in Early Adolescence. Prevention Science 1(2),
125-138.
McAuley, E.
Blissmer, B., Katula, J., Milhalko, S.L., & Duncan, T.E. (2000). Physical
Activity, Self-
Esteem, and Self-Efficacy
Relationships in Older Adults: A Randomized Controlled Trial. Annals of
Behavioral
Medicine, 22(2),
131-139.
Duncan, S. C.,
Duncan, T. E., & Alpert, A. (1999). Alcohol use among African
American and White
Siblings: A multilevel
latent growth modeling approach. Journal of Gender, Culture, and Health 3(4),
209-225.
Duncan, S. C.,
Strycker, L. A., & Duncan, T. E. (1999). Exploring associations
in developmental trends of
adolescent substance
use and risky sexual behavior in a high-risk population. Journal of Behavioral
Medicine, 22, 21-33.
Ary, D., Duncan,
T. E., Biglan, A., Metzler, C., Noell, J. W., & Smolkowski, K.
(1999). A developmental
model of adolescent
problem behavior. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology, Vol 27, No 2
, 141-150.
Ary, D., Duncan,
T. E., Duncan, S. C., & Hops, H. (1999). Adolescent problem behavior:
The influence of
parents and peers. Behavior
Research and Therapy Incorporating Behavioral Assessment, 37, 217-230.
McAuley, E.,
Katula, J., Mihalko, S. L., Blissmer, Duncan, T. E., Penna, M., & Dunn,
E. (1999). Mode of
Physical Activity and
Self-Efficacy in Older Adults: A Latent Growth Curve Analysis. The Journal
of Gerontology: Psychological Sciences, Vol. 54B, No. 5, P283-P292.
Duncan, T.E.,
Duncan, S.C., Strycker, L.A., Li, F., & Alpert, A., (1999). An
Introduction to Latent Variable
Growth Curve Modeling:
Concepts, Issues, and Applications. Mahwah NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.
Duncan, S.C.,
Duncan, T.E., & Alpert, A. (1998). Alcohol use among African
American and White
Siblings: A multilevel
latent growth modeling approach. Journal of Gender, Culture, and Health,
3, 209-225.
Duncan, S.C.,
Duncan, T.E., & Hops, H. (1998). Progressions of Alcohol,
Cigarettes, and marijuana Use in
Adolescence. Journal
of Behavioral Medicine, 21(4) 155-168.
Duncan, T.E.,
Duncan, S.C. & Alpert, A. (1998). Multilevel Covariance Structure
Analysis of Sibling
Antisocial Behavior. Structural
Equation Modeling, 5(3), 211-228.
Duncan, S.C.,
Duncan, T.E., Biglan, A., & Ary, D. (1998). Contributions
of the Social context to the
development of adolescent
substance use: A multivariate latent growth modeling approach. Drug
and Alcohol
Dependence,
50, 57-71.
Duncan, T.E.,
Duncan, S.C. & Hops, H. (1998). Latent Variable Modeling
of Longitudinal and Multilevel
Alcohol Use Data. Journal
of Studies on Alcohol, 59, 399-408.
Li, F., Duncan, T. E., Duncan, S. C., Harmer, P., & Acock, A. (1998). Testing the TEOSQ measurement model with incomplete data: An application of maximum likelihood-based estimation procedures. Measurement in Physical Education and Exercise Science, 2, 1-19.
Li, F., Duncan, T. E., Harmer, P., Acock, A., & Stoolmiller, M. (1998). Analyzing measurement models of latent variables through multilevel confirmatory factor analysis and hierarchical linear modeling approaches. Structural Equation Modeling, 5, 294-306.
Li, F., Harmer,
P., Duncan, T. E., Duncan, S. C., Acock, A., & Boles, S. (1998).
Approaches to testing
interaction effects
using structural equation modeling methodology. Multivariate Behavioral
Research, 33, 1-39.
Li, F., Harmer,
P., Duncan, T. E., Duncan, S. C., Acock, A., & Yamamoto, T. (1998).
Confirmatory factor
analysis for the Task
and Ego Orientation in Sport Questionnaire with cross-validation. Research
Quarterly for Exercise & Sport, 69, 276-283.
Li, F., Maddalozzo,
G. F., Harmer, P., & Duncan, T. E. (1998). Analysis of longitudinal
data of repeated
observations using
generalized estimating equation methodology. Measurement in Physical Education
and Exercise Science, 2, 93-113.
Duncan, T.E.,
Duncan, S.C., & Li, F. (1998). A Comparison of Model- and
Multiple Imputation- Based
Approaches to Longitudinal
Analyses with Partial Missingness. Structural Equation Modeling, 5(1),
1-21.
Latkin, C.,
Glass, G. E., & Duncan, T. E. (1998). Using geographic
information systems to assess spatial
patterns of drug use,
selection bias, and attrition among a sample of injection drug users. Drug
and Alcohol Dependence, 50(2), 167-175.
Duncan, T.E..,
Duncan, S.C., & Alpert, A. (1997). Multilevel Covariance
Structure Analysis of Family
Substance Use Across
Samples and Ethnicities. Journal of Gender, Culture, and Health,
2(4), 271-286.
Duncan, S.C., Duncan, T.E., Alpert, A., & Hops, H. (1997). Adolescent Alcohol Use Development and Young Adult Outcomes. Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 49, 39-48.
Duncan, T.E.,
Duncan, S.C. , Alpert, A., Hops, H., Stoolmiller, M., & Muthén,
B. (1997). Latent Variable
Modeling of Longitudinal
and Multilevel Substance Use Data. Multivariate Behavioral Research,
32 (3), 275-318.
Duncan, T.E.,
Duncan, S.C., Hops, H. & Alpert, A. (1997). Multilevel
Covariance Structure Analysis of Intra-
Familial Substance
Use. Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 46, 167-180.
Noell, J., Ary,
D, & Duncan, T.E. (1997). Development and evaluation of
a sexual decision making and social
skills program: "The
choice is yours - preventing HIV/STDs". Health Education Quarterly, 24
(1),87-101.
Biglan, A., Duncan, T.E., Irvine, B., Ary, D., Smolkowski, K., and James, L. (1997). A Drug Abuse Prevention Strategy for Rural America. In E.B. Robetson, A. Sloboda, G.M. Boyd, L. Beatty, and N.J. Kozel (Eds.), Rural Substance Abuse: State of Knowledge and Issues. Research Monograph No. 168, National Institute on Drug Abuse. pp. 364-397. Rockville, MD: U.S. Department of Health and Human Servises.
Li, F., Duncan,
T.E., Duncan, S.C., Harmer, P., Acock, A. (1997). Latent variable
modeling of multilevel
intrinsic motivation
data. Measurement in Physical Education and Exercise Science,
1(4), 223-244.
Duncan, T.E.,
Duncan, S.C., Alpert, A. & Hops, H. (1996). Multilevel
covariance structure analysis of sibling
substance use and intra-family
conflict. Journal of Psychopathology and Behavioral Assessment,
18 (4), 347-369.
Duncan, S.C.,
Duncan, T.E., & Hops, H. (1996). Analysis of Longitudinal
Alcohol Use Data Within
Accelerated Longitudinal
Designs. Psychological Measurement, 1 (3), 236-248.
Duncan, S.C. & Duncan, T.E. (1996). A multivariate latent growth curve analysis of adolescent substance use. Structural Equation Modeling, 3(4), 323-347.
Biglan, A., Ary, D., Yudelson, H., Duncan, T.E., Hood, D., James, L., Koehn, V., Wright, Z., Black, C., Levings, D., Smith, S., & Gaiser, E. (1996). Experimental evaluation of a modular approach to media campaigns for the prevention of adolescent tobacco use. American Journal of Community Psychology, 24 (3), 311-339.
Duncan, T.E.,
Duncan, S.C., & Hops, H. (1996). The Role of Parents
and Older Siblings in Predicting
Adolescent Substance
Use: Modeling Development via Structural Equation Latent Growth Curve Methodology. Journal
of Family Psychology, 10(2), 158-172.
Hops, H., Duncan, T.E., & Duncan, S.C. (1996). Parent Substance Use as a Predictor of Adolescent Use: A Six-Year Lagged Analysis. Annals of Behavioral Medicine, 18 (3), 157-164.
Irvine, B., Biglan, A., Duncan, T.E., & Metzler, C. (1996). Benefits and barriers for volunteer leaders of a parent training program. Family and Community Health, 18(4)., 20-32.
Duncan, T.E., Tildesley, E.A., Duncan, S.C., & Hops, H. (1995). The Consistency of family and peer influence on the development of substance use in adolescence. Addiction, 90, 1647-1660..
Biglan, A., Duncan, T.E., Ary, D. & Smolkowski, K. (1995). Peer and Parental Influences on Adolescent Tobacco Use. Journal of Behavioral Medicine, 18, 315-330.
Duncan, T.E., Duncan, S.C., Hops, H., & Stoolmiller, M. (1995). Analyzing Longitudinal Substance Use Data Via Generalized Estimating Equation Methodology. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 30, 317-339.
Oman, R.F. & Duncan, T.E. (1995). Women and exercise: An investigation of the roles of social support and personal variables. Medicine, Exercise, Nutrition, and Health, 4, 306-315.
Duncan, T.E. & Duncan, S.C. (1995). Modeling the Processes of Development via Latent Variable Growth Curve Methodology. Structural Equation Modeling, 2(3), 187-213.
Stoolmiller, M., Duncan, T.E., & Patterson, G.R. (1995). Predictors of Change in Antisocial Behavior at School for Adolescent Boys. In R.H. Hoyle (Ed.), Structural Equation Modeling: Issues and Applications, (pp. 237-253). Beverly Hills and London: Sage Publications.
Duncan, S.C., & Duncan, T.E. (1994). Modeling incomplete longitudinal data using latent variable growth curve methodology. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 29, 313-338.
Duncan, T.E., Duncan, S.C. & Stoolmiller, M. (1994). Modeling developmental processes via latent growth structural equation methodology. Applied Psychological Measurement, 18, 343-354.
Dishion, T.J., Duncan, T.E., Eddy, J.M., Fagot, B.I., & Fetrow, R.A. (1994). The world of parents and peers: Coercive exchanges and children's social adaptation. Social Development, 3, 255-268.
Duncan, T.E., Duncan, S.C., & Hops, H. (1994). The effect of family cohesiveness and peer encouragement on the development of adolescent alcohol use: A cohort-sequential approach to the analysis of longitudinal data. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 55, 588-599.
Duncan, T.E., Oman, R.F., & Duncan, S.C. (1994). Modeling incomplete data in exercise behavior research using structural equation methodology. Journal of Sport and exercise Psychology, 16, 187-203.
Duncan, T.E., & Stoolmiller, M. (1993). Modeling social and psychological determinants of exercise behaviors via structural equation systems. Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 64, 1-16.
Duncan, T.E., & McAuley, E. (1993). Social support and efficacy cognitions in exercise adherence: A latent growth curve analysis. Journal of Behavioral Medicine, 16, 199-218.
Duncan, T.E., Duncan, S.C., & McAuley, E. (1993). Provisions of social relations and adherence to prescribed exercise regimens. Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology, 15, 220-231.
Duncan, T.E., McAuley, E., Stoolmiller, M., & Duncan, S.C. (1993). Serial fluctuations in exercise behavior as a function of social support and efficacy cognitions. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 18, 1498-1522.
McAuley, E., Lox, C., & Duncan, T.E., (1993). Long-term Maintenance of Exercise, Self-efficacy, and Physiological Change in Older Adults. Journal of Gerontology, 48, P218-P224.
Stoolmiller, M., Duncan, T.E., Bank, L., & Patterson, G.R. (1993). Some Problems and Solutions in the Study of Change: Significant Patterns in Client Resistance. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 61, 920-928.
Bank, L., Duncan, T.E., Patterson, G.R., & Reid, J. (1993). Parent and Teacher Ratings in the Assessment and Prediction of Antisocial and Delinquent Behaviors. Journal of Personality, 61:4, 693-709.
McAuley, E., Duncan, T.E., & Russell, D. (1992). Measuring causal attributions: he revised Causal Dimension Scale (CDSII). Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 18, 566-573.
Duncan, T.E., & Duncan, S.C. (1991). A latent growth curve approach to investigating developmental dynamics and correlates of change in children's perceptions of physical competence. Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 62, 390-398.
Hawkins, W.E., & Duncan, T.E. (1991). Structural equation analysis of an exercise/sleep health practices model on quality of life of elderly persons. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 72, 831-836.
McAuley, E., Wraith, S. & Duncan, T.E. (1991). Self-efficacy, perceptions of success, and intrinsic motivation for exercise. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 21, 139-155.
McAuley, E., & Duncan, T.E. (1990). The causal attribution process in sport and physical activity. In S. Graham & V. Folkes (Eds.), Attribution Theory: Applications to achievement Behavior, Mental Health and Interpersonal Relations. Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum.
McAuley, E., & Duncan, T.E. (1990). Cognitive appraisal and affective reactions following physical achievement outcomes. Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology, 12, 415-426.
McAuley, E.,
Duncan, T.E., & McElroy, M. (1989). Children's self-efficacy
perceptions and causal attributions for motor
performance. Journal
of Genetic Psychology, 150, 65-73.
McAuley, E., & Duncan, T.E. (1989). Causal attributions and affective reactions to disconfirming outcomes in motor performance. Journal of Sport and Exercise Psychology, 11, 187-200.
McAuley, E., Duncan, T.E., & Tammen, V.V. (1989). Psychometric properties of the Intrinsic Motivation Inventory in a competitive sport setting: A confirmatory factor analysis. Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport, 60, 48-58.
Duncan, T.E., & McAuley,
E. (1987). Efficacy expectations and perceptions of causality in
motor performance. Journal of Sport Psychology, 9, 385-393.
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